Friday 27 June 2014

ADJUDGED OUT



A brief gust of woe and dismay blew through the JSE when instead of surging to and through 52 000 the All Share backed off and actually fell for a few consecutive days. The panic however has melted and confidence in the certainty that share prices must rise eternally was restored. In the currency market, however, sellers of the rand continue to dominate. Both wise and dumb money is leaving.
The worlds of finance and investing are infested with jargon and structures designed to intimidate and belittle outsiders. A classic example appeared this week with the news that the state is considering how best to “recapitalise” Eskom. The monopoly power utility wishes “to be reimbursed for operational losses resulting from the difference between what it was allowed to charge for electricity and what it spent on producing the power”.  Translated. this means: “We are so bad at running this business that we spent way more money than we earned and now we need some more. Please make the customary large transfer of tax payer’s money and fax us the proof of payment immediately”.
Meanwhile, in Australia, the dismal truth about the alleged skill of actuaries and fund managers has been uncovered. This is that most of us need to keep on working and saving for our retirement for far longer that the sunny assumptions of the experts have been suggesting. We are living longer and getting a far poorer return on our savings than either of those professionals predicted. The sole remedy (aside from getting our offspring and their friends to support us) is to work for longer, and retirement age in Aussie is being moved out to 70!  Now this really is an inconvenient truth which is certainly not yet accepted in Europe for example.
The government ramped up its level of disdain and contempt of the citizens of the nation several notches this week. Amongst its most spell-binding acts of crass stupidity was the election of Julius Malema to membership of the Judicial Services Commission – the body whose function is to select fit and proper persons for appointment as judges. Not only is this a huge and distressing message for the legal profession and their tradition of learning and deliberation but it will also satisfactorily irritate the several other opposition MP candidates suited for such a post. It might even distract Malema for a while.
Noticing that the SABC boss man was surfing the “Brides from Venda” pages on the internet and pretty much distracted, the government slipped through another one of its ideological targets and announced that it will be culling considerable swathes of Afrikaans language content from the airwaves. This act deserves a serious response from advertisers as well as viewers especially in the light of the Corporation’s own admission that the programs are popular. In the meantime Miss Lynne Brown our new Public Enterprises Minister (who naturally has scant enterprise experience) is facing calls from SAA for recapitalisation. What else? Instead of simply flogging off the whole sorry mess she has been waffling on about “business-models” and the like. Just killing off all the free flights on SAA for the chosen ones would save plenty of cash.
The general impression is that the government’s policy of agricultural land transfer has been a calamity. But perhaps this impression is simply a result of biased and hostile reporting and indeed the nation’s newest farmers really are working just as hard and productively as their predecessors. However, the fact that the country is now a net food importer is far more significant than Rural Development Minister Gugile Nkwinti’s exciting news that three of the new boys are now millionaires and so are doing really well.
Soccer must be one of the few sports in which 32 reasonably well-matched national sides can be assembled for a tournament. It’s obvious that Bafana would have been way out of their depth in Brazil. And if the state persists in its meddling, pretty soon the ‘bokke and the Proteas will slip from the international rankings too.
James Greener
27th June 2014