Friday 15 March 2013

RELUCTANTLY HIBERNATING BEAR



There is absolutely no sign anywhere that investors have the slightest doubt that they want to own shares and are prepared to keep paying more and more to do so. While company fortunes and profits are mostly improving they are certainly not doing so at the rate at which their valuations are increasing and the elastic is getting very stretched. Us bears are cowering behind our spreadsheets waiting for the huge twang we think should happen. These are difficult times to be dubious about the market.
A quite delightful scrap is developing in England about where to re-bury the recently discovered bones of one of their previous kings. For several hundred years he has lain beneath a car park in Leicester. Surprisingly no beaming car guard has pitched up to claim a tip for ensuring that he was safe all this time although his horse was definitely missing and may have been nicked.
The auditor general’s report about how few state-owned and operated entities have a fair grasp of how to run their money is alarming. Equally disturbing is the fact that there are 536 of these organisations. Presumably each one of them has an executive team of worthies all of whom require a corner office, fancy wheels, fact-finding jaunts and programs to launch with appropriate catering arrangements. One of these organisations is a newish government department that claims that their job is “to make the(ir) lives (of former soldiers) much better  after they have ended their careers as ‘soldiers’ rather than force them to choose a life of being dogs of war and missionaries (sic)….” This does nothing to indicate what that department intends to do with the R300m it was granted in the budget. It reckons its beneficiary client base of military veterans could be as many as 56 000 although over at the social grants department the claimants in this category are numbered in hundreds. The sole idea published so far is to erect monuments to those who sadly never got to be veterans.
 It seems that the rooms where they store the firearm licences are these days so rat infested that no one wants to work there. Now all we have to do is to get those rats over to the tax collector’s offices. Maybe we can send some of the ex-servicemen along to shoot a few. Rats that is.
For reasons of demographics and a paucity of taxpayers the central government hand-out to the kingdom was far less than hoped for and cost saving measures are being discussed. The one that grabbed the biggest headline locally was the suggestion that councillors should give up drinking bottled water and, like their constituents, rely on what comes out of the tap. While they are about it how about using public transport to travel to work, use public schools and hospitals, cancel their security contracts and put their retirement funds into only local bonds, shares and property. That is, they ought to lead the way by showing that the services they provide and organise are quite capable of supporting everyone’s needs and aspirations.
The yellow-billed kites have departed, the red-winged starlings are calling ceaselessly and the F1 season is about to start. These are sure signs that autumn has arrived. Another is that we are about to enjoy a succession of holidays that tend to develop into 3 day weeks. Productivity gets a hammering. It is unlikely that there will be a “Tidemarks” next week.
James Greener
Ides of March 2013