Friday 10 April 2020

How did the Elvis song go? 40 Days….


The numbers that pour out of the markets unceasingly, suddenly seem irrelevant as the death toll from the virus mounts and closing down economies is the most popular remedy being imposed by the politicians. Perhaps the sole indicators to watch over the next few days are the gold price in one’s own currency and the bulletins of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s health as he recovers from the infection.
President Cyril’s brains trust, aka the National Coronavirus Command Council, have decided that it will help the battle against the virus if we have a further fortnight of lockdown.  While this may be the correct move as far as the medical battle is concerned, the economic disaster is perhaps growing even faster. Details of what will be permitted in the second phase of lockdown have yet to be released but it really ought to be more lenient in enabling more people to get back to work. Or else people are going to die of poverty.
We also need a few more freedoms and consistency in what we can do or buy. There is no good reason why booze and smokes can't be sold. They are not illegal products. The current ban has the fingerprints of the prat in a hat all over it. He along with a few other cabinet members is not only rather poor at his job but also appears to have influence over our president. It's not been explained just why Communications Minister Stella Ndabeni-Abrahams was playing courier in taking medical protective equipment from the obscenely opulent home of a disgraced former colleague Mduduzi Manana to some students not that far away. The whole incident reeks of privilege and disdain for the law.
It will be many years after this pathogen has worked its way through the human race that the researchers will be able to piece together where it really came from , how it should be treated and of course how to protect us from it in the future. The economic carnage that it is causing is already with us. The truism on everyone's lips is that the world will be a very different place when it's all over. But none of us have much clue exactly what will be so different.
As legendary investor Warren Buffett is reported to have noted “It's only when the tide goes out that you discover who has been swimming naked.”  In the context of this pandemic we are learning what we really value and need. And it's perhaps not what we thought we did just a month ago. 
What makes South Africa's battle with the virus particularly hard is that there is no money in the National Treasury to spend on all these unexpected costs. Tidemarks drones on incessantly about the fact that the state spends so much more than its income that it is utterly broke and the cost of borrowing to bridge the gap comes in the form of ever-increasing interest rates. These increases are punishment for allowing the growth of a mob of well-connected cadres who have looted both public and private purses secure in the knowledge that there will be no retribution.
Several Relief Funds have been set up by both wealthy individuals and the government raiding the pension and insurance funds of the nation’s workers and they will surely help. Volunteering one third of each cabinet minister’s salary was a nice presidential touch in his speech last night. However, many of the loans and handouts seem to have a few unpalatable conditions attached to eligibility for relief and probably hard to access without internet connections.
There hasn't been much more information about using the location data provided by cell phones to track our where abouts. But aside from leaving our phones at home when going out we should insist that the system should provide we citizens with a constant update of the whereabouts of all the cabinet members and directors general. It would be good to see where they go to top up the booze cabinet. Or if they go jogging.
James Greener
Good Friday 2020