Friday 21 October 2016

CATERWAULING


Although it seems unlikely, the charts confirm that the current rand / dollar exchange rate is at about the same level as it was a year ago. Ditto the All Share index. That’s despite all the seemingly investor-scaring stuff that has taken place (see below). Maybe it’s that the current batch of fleeing emigrants haven’t got that much money to take away with them anymore. Maybe we are exporting stuff steadily and quietly without attracting the attention of the analysts. Judging from the glossy property flyers someone must be paying tens of millions for a view of the South Atlantic Ocean from one of the world’s most congested cities!  If it wasn’t for the politicians and the students, one could get quite optimistic about our southern tip.
But the number of things too impossible to believe continues to grow. Much of the difficulty in trying to grasp it all lies in the illogicality of everything. How can the act of setting fire to a library be seen as a) non-violent and b) furthering the cause of education? How can making universities ungovernable be in the interest of poor or indeed any students? Is there just one cabinet minister with a real and properly earned recognisable and appropriate qualification --- even a matric? How can the president express complete faith in the man upon whom the same president has set his goons to destroy?  Why is our power utility lending money to the president’s friends? Is JZ ever in the country? Is that reason for leaving the ICC really true?  Is it possible that astonishing actions and provocative statements are sometimes planned and made largely to elicit responses of irritation and dismay from the indignant and immaterial minority?
Next week we will have to suffer the so-called medium term budget presentation by the minister of finance – that is if he hasn’t been locked up for the utterly heinous crime of granting a member of staff an early retirement package. Although the month to month data are not getting any worse – the government fairly consistently spends one rand for every 87 cents collected – it has been doing that for the past half dozen years and the total debt is mounting up. And when the nation gets its Christmas present from the ratings agencies of a creditworthiness downgrade, the interest payments on all that borrowing are going to soar. A balanced budget is never going to happen in the lifetime of this government. It’s going to require more than just the axing of some of the silly little ministries to solve that cash flow problem. Hopefully the trainee bureaucrats presently trashing the nation’s campuses are impatient to use their expensive education to show us all how to do it. So far, however, their proposals to soak the rich and press-gang private enterprise are not going to raise nearly enough. But sums like that are always difficult and so colonial.
Undeniably there is an urgent need to lower the cost and improve the standards of internet connectivity in South Africa. Unfortunately, (and unsurprisingly) the state is moving at a snail’s pace to achieve these things. The Cabinet has set up a war room (!) to “expedite the implementation of SA’s broadband policy.” But so far the “terms of reference” are not yet agreed! The failure to implement the migration to digital terrestrial TV is one frustrating stumbling block in the process. This is such a fast moving and innovation driven business that the best thing government can do is step aside and let private enterprise sort it out -- something they are already doing if all the aggressive marketing is a guide. But one does sort of wonder what most of the bandwidth is really used for. Messages like this and other vital and trustworthy communications must surely comprise a tiny fraction of the torrent of entertainment downloads and pictures of cats and food. Social Media is a dreadful misnomer. A room full of screen peckers is not at all social. The dreaded hash tag has nearly replaced real journalism. It’s so easy to select material that panders to one’s prejudices and not to confront contrary opinions. Does it not make sense that we want to do that cheaper and quicker? Did someone say work emails? Pshaw!
The opinion that SA rugby is hamstrung by having far too many regional authorities is very compelling. It seems worth trying to spend less money on staff and more on players. Competition for fewer places both in the coach’s room and on the field might sharpen things up. It could hardly make it worse. The only person more depressed about his team than a ‘bok supporter must be an Aussie cricket fan. Apparently Northern Transvaal will be in Bloemfontein to finish off the Currie Cup tomorrow. What a pity that today is Global Champagne Day.
James Greener
Friday 21st October 2016