Friday 15 July 2016

LARRY STAYS PUT



There are about three dozen shares listed in the mining sectors of the JSE. In their most recent report a third of them declared a loss for the previous 12 months. Not one of the 4 companies who claim to be mining diamonds is making profits and six of the eight listed coal companies are in the red. These facts would appear not to carry any warnings for the unions who are now entering the season of wage demands. In a year’s time then, these statistics are likely to be even worse especially as the government continues to be rather hostile to any company not owned by good friends of the president. Equally alarming is the emergence of the civil servant’s pension fund as a source of funding for some very dodgy business plans. Now it takes many years of study to acquire the actuarial expertise necessary to understand the interplay between employers, employees, retirees, investment returns and inflation but putting pension money into ventures that have scant possibility of repaying sounds like bad news even to a physicist.
Those who are still fretting that Britain has made a big mistake in leaving the EU might take a look at the warnings from some pretty august outfits about the state of many banks inside the community, especially Italy. It’s the same old story about lending money to deadbeats because of who they know and not because they are a decent credit risk. And then there’s the wailing noises from the nations in the bottom right hand corner of the continent who are asking what will happen to their applications to join now that the rich Brits are leaving. Fascinating stuff to watch from here on the warming up southern tip.
Perhaps the most amazing thing about the clinical way in which Britain switches Prime Ministers is the handover of the official residence – 10 Downing Street. Suddenly there was David Cameron and his family on the doorstep waving to the cameras. Amazingly none of the children was tapping out a status update on a cell phone and Mrs C wasn’t clutching a supermarket bag stuffed with still warm pyjamas and half a bottle of milk rescued from the fridge on the way out. Mind you they probably had to leave the milk behind for Larry the cat who, it turns out, is on the permanent staff at No 10 and doesn’t shift digs just because of mere political firestorms. So no sooner had the family shuffled down the street to be taken away into obscurity than the new key holder pitched up with her startled looking husband in tow. After the waving and smiling, the big black door mysteriously swung open and the pair bolted inside. Not even a duffle bag of overnight things in sight. All very classy.
Meanwhile our man JZ was across the channel warming a seat at the Elysee Palace and offering advice and wine tips to the French top man Francois Hollande. For once Hollande might have been pleased to see the shining pated Number One as the touchy subject of how much one can pay for a haircut in Paris was unlikely to come up.
The millions of people around the world who spend a great deal of July watching 200 ridiculously fit men ride bicycles across some incredibly picturesque bits of France all cheered when Chris Froome punched a spectator who was behaving badly. Now Chris is a very nicely brought up lad who went to St John’s in Joburg. He wouldn’t have retaliated like that unless he was sorely provoked. So everyone was outraged when it turned out he was fined 200 Swiss Francs for that laudable exercise in crowd control. Just yesterday unruly spectators caused another incident affecting the race leader. How about reversing the fines process and awarding a bounty payment to a rider who manages to whack a deserving trouble maker? That will keep everyone back from the road and it will add interest for the riders at the back of the peloton as they could weave about trying to get in range of a flag-shaking lout dressed only in underpants.
James Greener
15th July 2016