Monday 12 December 2011

COP OUT


The residents of Durban poured into the streets last night to gaze in awe at the skies above the International Conference Centre. Hopefully the dramatic fireworks display that was reflected in the tears of pride and appreciation that rolled down the faces of the gathered rate and tax payers marked the end of the COP 17 boondoggle. We were humbled that our leaders were using our money to stage such an appropriate nature-friendly display of extravagance to thank the Parties who had attended the Conference for the 17th time. Those residents lucky enough to live alongside the roads linking the gritty downtown venue with the luxury hotels of the north coast were able also to see for the last time the weary and exhausted delegates as they were whisked past in their police-escorted, blue-light flashing, traffic-law flouting convoys. Some found comfort in the knowledge that these hard-working servants of the people would soon be in their comfortable sea-facing rooms with well stocked mini-bars and 24-hour room service.
By most accounts it seems that the conference was an outstanding display of hypocrisy and privileged consumption. No document or memorandum that could not have been knocked up by people staying at home and using the internet was published. But lots of folk got to spend several days in Durban (sorry about the weather chaps) practicing very bad science, displaying some astonishing ignorance, arrogance and bad manners. As with all these international gatherings one rarely gets to see a final set of accounts to see if the costs were greater or less than the benefits, but I  do hope that at least some members of the hospitality industry here in Durbs are feeling better off today..
I was extremely fortunate to be out of town for all but the dying moments of the circus, but one excited news item I did see insisted that the gathered throngs had discovered a new and magical business strategy that would bring prosperity and create jobs. It seems that manufacturers and businessmen need only make their products and services eco-friendly and a hitherto untapped community of wealthy and eager customers and clients would be delighted to pay premium prices and drive up sales and profits. And so, to cater for this wonderful new demand, employers would need to throw open their gates and welcome the large numbers of well trained and disciplined workers waiting outside. Who would have guessed?
Equally amazing is that despite some recent heroic intra-day excursions by the market indices, the average investor is merely 10% better off than they were at the 2008 market index peak. Significantly, all of this return has been derived from the dividend portion only. This is why mostly only well-managed, dividend-paying companies remain my choice for investment portfolios.
And why, if the Euro Zone is in such a mess, has the euro currency not completely tanked. In the same way that an excess demand for shares has not emerged in the last few years, no overwhelming supply of euros has swamped the currency markets in the last few months. Puzzling, but it suggests that many people are rather certain that the euro will survive.
It is also puzzling if not very embarrassing for someone that one of the Durban harbour pilot boats managed to miss the enlarged harbour entrance by a country mile and fetch up on the beach after bouncing off some rocks. These are the guys that the big ships are obliged to pay to have on board when entering or leaving port. Fortunately, no one except taxpayers were injured as the damage repair estimated at R1 million was described by the port captain as “minimal”. So not only is the 5 cent coin being withdrawn, the amount of R1m is apparently barely worth mentioning.  Inflation is undoubtedly on the rise.
 Thank goodness that some test cricket is starting again in a few days. It really is the ultimate in sport but let’s hope that the New Year sees the departure if not the arrest of the crooks and thugs who ludicrously are in charge of this and many other sporting codes.
James Greener
11th December 2011