Friday, 31 January 2020

BRUSSELS WITHERS


Changes and levels of the exchange rate between the rand and other currencies on all time scales can reasonably be used as an indicator of the aggregate opinion of the worth of the nation. This week the diagnosis was that we are a very sick puppy. Dull eyes, white gums and no wag in the tail. Two high profile “influencers”, Richard Quest of CNN and R W Johnson, an independent journalist, came out with severe “tell it like it is” bear cases for the country. The “oh but…” responses have been loud and fast but this time they have failed to rally the faithful or yet the rand. Perhaps the biggest disappointment for many is the suspicion that President Cyril is utterly powerless and merely clings to his view, expressed many years ago, that South Africa has little need for colonials.
We have mused before about the irony of students, some of whom undoubtedly are reading for degrees in economics and business, trashing their campus in protest for having to pay debts. Their actions betray that their grasp of their subject is approaching the impossibly low 30% now required for a school leaving pass. The lack of understanding of how both government and the private sector are funded was a big theme this week. Taxes and profits are words invariably misused by the ignorant.
There was official smugness and relief when the Development Bank of Southern Africa conjured up a R3.5bn loan for the national airline supposedly without recourse to the National Treasury and taxpayer’s money. Errr. Not quite chaps. If ever one wanted an illustration of the “kicking the can down the road” idiom this is it. DBSA is wholly state owned.
Yet again costly lawyers are in court for two state entities arguing about the interpretation of laws and regulations. Without any discussion about whether increasing the price of electricity by almost 20% is affordable, warranted or necessary, Eskom, the power utility is taking on the regulator, Nersa, which has capped the increase at 5.2%. The background is of course that Eskom is in dire need of money and surprisingly have recently got the Congress of South African Trade Union’s support for a R200 billion “investment” by the state pension fund. Another very bad idea.
Then the Department of Health published a multi-coloured leaflet assuring citizens that the huge costs of the new National Health Initiative would not be funded by “extra money from your pocket” but will instead be paid for by taxation and appropriated through parliament. This was followed by the news that the Minister presumably responsible for approving this nonsense has appointed his niece as the chief of staff for his department. Allegedly she has form in the perennial difficulty of failing to distinguish the difference between her own money and someone else’s.
Unfortunately, Tidemarks last week failed to acknowledge that it was International Customs Day. It does however want to point out that today is so-called Brexit day when Great Britain leaves the European Union. Only the soon to be unemployed civil servants and the determinedly curmudgeonly are likely immediately to discover and point out any effects of this quite significant development. However, human resourcefulness and self-preservation instincts have long been thinking how best to get on with their lives and manage without a whole layer of costly government based in another country. The majority are in fact pretty hazy about what it all means. This is best illustrated by a young lass faced with an impromptu microphone for a “vox pop” in the street interview who spluttered that she thought cheese would be unobtainable after today. The rest of us are just deeply grateful that this very ugly and inharmonious word that has dominated the airwaves for far too long can now slide into history.
It still January and the temperature is forecast to reach 33degrees and Super Rugby kicks off tonight in the Shark Tank. It’s amazing how the skills and confidence that provided the ‘bokke with the World Cup just months ago seem to have evaporated. I’m starting to read and agree with the commentaries that this tournament may have reached its sell-by date.
James Greener
Brexit Day 2020