Friday, 29 March 2019

SAY WHAT?

Krugerrands are back trading at over R20 000 a coin. This happened last in 2016 and is the combined result of a soggy rand and a perkier dollar gold price. The fascination with this investment device is its utter invisibility to the tax authorities – even when they are not on strike – and the role its price pays as an indicator of perceptions about South Africa. Not a lot is the current indication.
Once again the great and good in the business of setting the price of money itself, met in Pretoria this week and made no change to the repo (repurchase) interest rate  When not coping with President Cyril’s rapid mind changes about whether or not to nationalise the Reserve Bank, the staff there must surely notice that whatever they have done (mostly nothing) in the last few years with the one really big lever at their disposal, our economy is still in a deep hole. Isn’t it time to do something different? The most radical move would be to step away from control by committee and let the markets compete for the short-term funding provided by the central bank. When this was last tried 20 years ago, collusion between the borrowers brought the experiment to a halt. Maybe the staff could do some thinking about how to curb that practice instead of just waiting for the next meeting in 2 months. If the repo rate is a critical barrier to getting the country back to productive work, assuredly the market will diagnose that and correct it. Instead we all are obliged to spend way too much time and energy filling in forms for government officials to lose. The global evidence is that the real barrier to actual economic freedom and growth is the number of those unproductive government officials who on May 8th will undoubtedly vote to keep their jobs which seems to consist mostly of stopping the private sector from doing theirs.
Like the famous tale about the bank robber who explained to the judge that he robbed banks because that’s where the money was, the story here involves the Public Investment Commissioner. It is the custodian of the single biggest stash of other people’s wealth in the country and guess what? A never-ending stream of people line up at his door with a story about what riches they could create if they were granted just a tiny bit of this pot to invest. What the split is between scams and actual success is not easy to say, as it is the blow-outs that (eventually) get the publicity. What’s very worrying is how many of the scams have an inside job component. And very senior too. This week the acting CEO was suspended.
A perfect example of the fallacy that human rights exist was provided in South Africa this week by a government body called the Human Rights Commission. This completely racist organisation, totally in thrall to the anti-white factions in this country, explained to the world that the meaning of the words “human” and “hate” can be determined only after the history and circumstances of the aggressor and victim are considered. They claimed that in judging whether an incident was a hate crime deserving censure and punishment or just a minor offensive moment easily excused, depended on who said or did what to whom. Malema’s calls for genocide (but not right now) was apparently in the latter category. Outrageous.
What might jokingly be called the main stream media (MSM) here in SA probably consists of the state broadcaster and two newspaper groups, both in remarkably poor financial health. The latter two devote way too much space pointing out each other’s shortcomings but I suppose that’s cheap and easier to do than despatching reporters. But what these guys have done is to make the white male all but disappear from South Africa. In just a few years the MSM have found a South Africa where people like me have no role to play except of course for paying tax and operating rescue services -- which includes keeping politicians and their kin out of jail. It’s a remarkable feat, made a little easier perhaps by the departure of many of these people from their homeland.
The Duckworth-Lewis formula used to decide the outcome of a shortened limited overs cricket match has been around a long time and there must be stats to test if it favours the side batting first. Old D & L have certainly handed the Sri Lankans some tough decisions recently.
James Greener
Friday 29th March 2019