Friday, 19 October 2018

CHANGING THE CHANNEL


Re-treading a previous Governor of the Reserve Bank and fitting him up as Minister of Finance has been well received by the currency and bond markets. But the share market is fretting about other stuff that investors think Tito Mboweni can’t influence in the medium term. The All Share (without resource shares) has weakened more than 10% in recent weeks and is testing a 12-month low.
The latest word to be misused and shorn of its meaning by the kleptocrats is “bank”. Very simply a bank attracts depositors to put their cash with them in return for regular interest payments and at the very least their capital back. Borrowers approach the bank for loans and expect not only to pay interest on the money borrowed but also in due time repay the capital. The bank profits from an (ahem) modest difference between deposit and lending interest rates. The possibility of failure to perform on either side of this transaction is coyly referred to as “credit risk”. The VBS Mutual Bank debacle is setting new standards for this phenomenon. Neither most of the lenders nor some of the borrowers have any right to be dealing with a mutual bank and huge sums of money have gone missing. Unsurprisingly it was VBS Bank which supposedly granted a mortgage to President Zuma when he was instructed to pay back the money spent on his private home.
The technical aspects of the internationally agreed changeover of the method of broadcasting the meagre content of our nationally owned TV stations from analogue to digital are at all difficult. But a political fly in the ointment, together with an opportunity to divert money in unusual directions blew this project up into the so-called set-top box debacle. Politicians fretted that without this piece of equipment, voters would be unable to see them! The government therefore decided that they would give boxes to many tens of thousands of households identified as poor, despite them owning a TV set, having an electricity supply and presumably paying for an annual TV licence. The contracts to make and supply these boxes obviously provided an opportunity for a spot of cash-flow harvesting. But the far bigger prize in the broadcasting business lurks in the money that viewers are prepared to pay for good new content like movies, series and sport. However, the providers of this lucrative content will sell it only to those broadcasters capable in turn of identifying and charging their own customers. Multichoice (DSTV) is currently the sole South African broadcaster able to do this and their charge of almost R1000 a month for the “full bouquet” of content is well worth defending. Allegedly, Multichoice have long been involved in frank and meaningful discussions with ministers and bureaucrats about keeping encryption (the tool that gives DSTV the power to control who can see what) out of the set-top boxes. This of course would perpetuate their monopoly on selling desirable content. But now, at just the wrong time for everyone contemplating monopolistic practices, the internet has begun to upset the status quo. Copious and cheaper content can now be delivered directly to viewers without the need for dish antennae and decoders or the infamous boxes. Watch this space!
The profile on the SARS website for Mrs Mmamathe Makhekhe-Mokhuane, their Chief Officer: Digital Information Services and Technology is quite impressive. But in two TV interviews on Wednesday, not so much. Among a slew of non-sequiturs, unanswered questions and alarmingly clueless rambling she demonstrated also that her understanding of choral ensembles needs some tuning. She lamented that since its formation in 1967 the Drakensburg Boys Choir had not yet included a single woman. What relevance this has in supporting her demand for R2bn to fix the IT mess she claims to have inherited is unknown. But with that kind of thinking this lady must be a gift for even the most inept salesman with a tax system to sell. Meanwhile the rest of us are uncertain whether to be delighted that the tax collection system is allegedly on the brink of collapse or terrified to contemplate a nation where government salaries and state grants are not paid timeously.
Is the Currie Cup a league format or a knock-out competition? Judging by the turnouts last week, fans don’t much care for domestic rugby by this stage in the season anyway.
James Greener
Friday 19th October 2018